Archive for the ‘ Life ’ Category

Why you probably might not have what you think you have

Friday, December 9th, 2011
Why you probably might not have what you think you have

The November 2011 bankruptcy of MF Global and the subsequent global search for the million $1+ billion in customer deposits is looking increasingly like the tip of the iceberg. There is a much larger risk scenario that is beginning to unfold.  Pay attention now or suffer the consequences later.

Hypothecation is far more prevalent than you might think
At first blush, you might think that the bankruptcy of MF Global was an isolated situation where a rogue company acted outside of the boundaries of their contracted fiduciary duties to customers.  And you would be wrong. The reason why Corzine will almost certainly not get the Madoff treatment — at least in the judicial sense — is because his customer agreements have authorized the company to hypothecate and re-hypothecate anything on deposit.

So, earlier today I took a look at my TD Ameritrade account agreement and low and behold we have the following on page 6 of the customer agreement, apparently last modified in November 2011:

In other words, property on deposit — including cash — is not required to be segregated. It can be pledged, re-pledged, hypothecated and re-hypothecated at their sole description, without notice and without recourse.  If those hypothecated trades go great, the house keeps 100% of the upside. If those house trades fail catastrophically, the depositors have been exposed to the potential risk that they will suffer without recourse if the company were to become insolvent or bankrupt.  This is counter-party risk.  Is it legal? Apparently yes. Is it ethical? Personally, I don’t think so.  Will it end happily? I fear possibly not. That is why I don’t invest in hedge funds, fund of funds, or derivatives.  The opportunity of obfuscation of ownership just too great.  I would rather own something outright — like investment-grade domain names.

For more perspective on the issue of hypothecation of custodial assets, I strongly encourage you to read the excellent piece from earlier today on Zerohedge, which you can find here.  It was one of the most useful things I read during 2011.  If nothing else, it should serve to make any investor more highly conscious of the true counter-party risk for any investment.  Otherwise you just might end up with the proverbial:

 

Why you probably might not have what you think you have

The “Give a Sh** Factor”

Sunday, December 4th, 2011
The “Give a Sh** Factor”

One of the people that has been making the rounds lately in the financial media is a hedge fund manager named Kyle Bass of Hayman Capital.   The guy is often on the right side of the trade, particularly when it comes to his bets in credit markets — notably mortgage-backed securities in 2008 and now sovereign debt in 2011.  In a recent interview, he makes reference to what he calls the “Give a Sh** Factor“.  This is the second time that I have heard him use this term.  Strangely, the notion of a “Give a Sh** Factor” resonates with me.

When it comes to business, I have learned a few things over the years about building companies — both as an operator and as an investor.  Looking back, I have had at least two opportunities in my professional life when I could have simply retired and spent the rest of my life pursuing hobbies. On both occasions I opted against that route, largely because I believe our Creator put us on this earth not to be idle. I genuinely enjoy building companies.  I am also a big believer in aligning incentives with all stakeholders, notably customers, employees and investors.  Without question, there is a success formula.

Earlier this year, the company I founded in 1999, GMI, was sold to WPP Group in a significant all-cash deal that rewarded the founders and investors for years of hard work.  I led the company as Founder and CEO from 1999-2007, during which time the company racked up 100% annual growth and emerged as a respected industry leader.  While the list of Key Success Factors for a company is longer, there are a few core themes that I view as the foundation for serving as an operating executive of a business, and especially in leading a fast-growing startup.  As the President and CEO of Epik, here are my top 3:

  • Know the Customer:   On any given day, I talk to 40-50 customers on the phone.  I also Skype with another 5-10 as well as email with dozens more.  The phone number on the Epik site, 425-765-0077, rings through to my personal cell phone which gets answered from around 6 am PT until around midnight 7 days a week.  With ~30,000 active accounts, you might wonder why the President of the company answers the phone. Simple. It has given me unprecedented insight into customer needs and an opportunity to personally connect with many customers. At Epik, we absolutely give a sh**.
  • Know the Product: I have always had a passion for technology and software development.  As much as I enjoy talking to customers, on any given day, I spend about as much time working with engineers.  Those discussions are invariably punctuated by customer calls.  While the customer comes first, our passion is for building world class software that we believe will empower a new generation of domain investor to get the most out of their domain name holdings.  Epik is building something that is very, very cool for anyone who wants to Acquire, Build, Manage and Sell domains and websites.
  • Focus on one thing:   This is popular logic. For much of my professional life I rebelled against it, thinking that I could handle more concurrent projects than the typical entrepreneur.  However, in the final analysis, I (humbly) agree that to be an effective operating executive, focus is required.  I am focused on Epik. Why? Of all the ideas to pursue and all of the investment categories to master, I focus on Domain names because I believe that the case for domain name investing has never made more sense to me than it does today.   Epik is in the right place at the right time.

Looking ahead, we have some exciting things in store.  As these initiatives come to light, I think it will become increasingly apparent to all that Epik is a company with a very high “Give a Sh**” factor.

 

The “Give a Sh** Factor”

Steve Jobs: Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish.

Monday, June 6th, 2011
Steve Jobs: Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish.

With graduation season in full swing, I extend my congratulations to the graduates, and also to the parents who helped them to get there. Steve Jobs’ 2005 Commencement address at Stanford is still a classic and offers a perspective on life from one of the most prolific innovators of this century. If you have never seen this talk, enjoy. I have watched it a few times over the years and never tire of it.

Steve Jobs: Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish.

What’s with the media blackout on increased earthquake activty?

Monday, March 7th, 2011
What’s with the media blackout on increased earthquake activty?

There has been a lot of mainstream media coverage of Charlie Sheen and his Godess-enhanced clan lately (#winning).  What has not gotten nearly as much attention is something that matters more: increased earthquake activity.  In Epik’s 2011 Outlook, we said to expect increased seismic activity in 2011 (see prediction #6). The last 24 hours has seen some of the most active seismic activity in recent history.  This post provides the uninitiated with a short primer on where to look and what to look for since there is a risk to be managed — including risks for internet entrepreneurs.

Increasing Seismic Activity is a Development to Watch
As measured by earthquakes of 6.0 or higher on the Richter scale, seismic activity has been on the rise.  As you can see in the chart below, a meaningful change in the trend started in the early-1990′s.  The uptick is not attributable to improvements in measurement as people do tend to notice the 6-bangers when they happen. For calibration, the recent massive New Zealand earthquake was a 7.0 as was the Haiti quake in 2010 that has killed more than 300,000 people.

Today’s Seismic Activity was unusually active
In a normal year, we would have about 120 earthquakes of 6.0 or higher on the Richter scale.  That means about 1 ever 3 days.  So far today, we have had 2 earthquakes of 6.0 or higher.  We have had 21 that are 4.5 or higher.  On the Monday clock, which started a short while ago, we just had a 6.6 in the Solomon Islands — so that makes 3 quakes of 6.0 or higher in less than 24 hours.  Statistically, that is starting to look mighty peculiar.

MAG UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s
LAT
deg
LON
deg
DEPTH
km
Region
MAP 5.4 2011/03/06 23:45:00 -30.983 -178.691 101.7 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND
MAP 4.9 2011/03/06 22:23:16 44.334 -129.473 10.2 OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
MAP 4.8 2011/03/06 21:35:48 44.372 -129.346 10.9 OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
MAP 2.6 2011/03/06 21:15:00 19.407 -155.284 1.3 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MAP 4.6 2011/03/06 20:50:33 73.061 5.998 34.8 GREENLAND SEA
MAP 2.7 2011/03/06 20:01:17 60.162 -152.481 84.7 SOUTHERN ALASKA
MAP 4.9 2011/03/06 15:48:54 52.180 142.177 10.0 SAKHALIN, RUSSIA
MAP 6.5 2011/03/06 14:32:36 -56.387 -27.019 84.2 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
MAP 2.8 2011/03/06 14:21:28 19.412 -155.261 3.0 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MAP 4.5 2011/03/06 13:46:35 40.455 -125.427 2.6 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
MAP 2.6 2011/03/06 13:40:26 32.412 -115.498 16.6 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO
MAP 4.8 2011/03/06 13:35:16 52.847 160.698 44.7 OFF THE EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA, RUSSIA
MAP 4.9 2011/03/06 13:09:34 52.882 160.605 49.9 OFF THE EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA, RUSSIA
MAP 6.2 2011/03/06 12:31:58 -18.115 -69.391 101.3 TARAPACA, CHILE
MAP 4.7 2011/03/06 11:26:26 26.909 143.598 10.0 BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION
MAP 4.7 2011/03/06 11:06:27 26.903 143.632 10.1 BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION
MAP 4.3 2011/03/06 10:57:30 36.447 71.193 232.8 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN
MAP 5.0 2011/03/06 10:52:52 26.897 143.610 10.1 BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION
MAP 2.6 2011/03/06 10:44:19 59.472 -153.632 100.0 SOUTHERN ALASKA
MAP 4.5 2011/03/06 10:11:36 -9.389 119.210 85.9 SUMBA REGION, INDONESIA
MAP 4.2 2011/03/06 09:45:22 14.021 -91.299 80.5 GUATEMALA
MAP 2.8 2011/03/06 08:53:58 19.423 -155.262 3.4 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MAP 4.4 2011/03/06 08:39:52 53.742 159.112 158.2 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA, RUSSIA
MAP 4.3 2011/03/06 07:58:41 39.208 40.355 10.0 EASTERN TURKEY
MAP 4.9 2011/03/06 07:13:25 27.023 143.682 10.0 BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION
MAP 4.6 2011/03/06 05:25:48 70.884 -6.278 10.0 JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION
MAP 4.5 2011/03/06 05:21:07 -5.148 102.356 40.8 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
MAP 3.7 2011/03/06 05:17:36 60.925 -150.014 42.9 KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA
MAP 4.8 2011/03/06 03:43:31 -42.381 173.921 10.0 SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
MAP 3.1 2011/03/06 03:32:32 32.814 -115.620 20.6 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
MAP 4.2 2011/03/06 03:28:18 34.801 24.960 44.8 CRETE, GREECE
MAP 2.6 2011/03/06 02:36:11 62.958 -149.387 73.5 CENTRAL ALASKA
MAP 5.1 2011/03/06 01:44:07 -23.054 170.448 35.3 SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS
MAP 2.5 2011/03/06 01:39:00 19.360 -155.159 2.6 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MAP 2.6 2011/03/06 01:31:12 19.366 -155.156 2.8 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MAP 2.6 2011/03/06 01:23:42 19.369 -155.157 4.2 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MAP 2.5 2011/03/06 01:11:24 19.351 -155.150 1.7 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MAP 2.5 2011/03/06 01:07:32 19.368 -155.152 3.3 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MAP 4.7 2011/03/06 00:56:00 26.953 143.702 10.7 BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION
MAP 2.5 2011/03/06 00:52:58 19.364 -155.145 3.6 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MAP 4.4 2011/03/06 00:18:25 23.933 94.001 69.8 MYANMAR

You can track earthquake activity here.
The Earth’s Magnetosphere is your Friend
The other development to watch is the state of the earth’s Magnetosphere, as this correlates to seismic activity.  Earth’s Magnetosphere is the protective layer that insulates the Earth from damaging solar wind. This is particularly a concern when the sun kicks out what are called Coronal Mass Ejections as has recently been happening, including a so-called X-class flare last month.

Sunspots are a leading indicator
Spots on the sun are a leading indicator. The next so-called Solar Maximum is scheduled to peak in 2012 so we should expect to see more solar activity through the balance of 2011 and into 2012 which likely also means more tectonic volatility as magnetic forces of the sun influence the earth’s iron core.

For calibration, the current sunspot number is 114.  The number should keep rising through the current solar cycle — cycle 24 in case you are keeping track.  A good place to look for sunspot account is SpaceWeather.com. I could imagine seeing as many as 250+ during the current cycle.

 

Online Real Estate should do just fine
Physical real estate would tend to suffer materially from increased seismic activity.  It would also be a huge strain on already strained federal, state and local budgets. A lot of experts are paying close attention to the New Madrid faultline which was responsible for a massive seismic event in 1811 and has been relatively inactive until recently.  Since most physical real estate is not insured against seismic damage, the economic impact of a large seismic event is significant.  Investments in commercial property could be completely wiped out, particularly if they are leveraged.  By contrast, online real estate would likely suffer temporary outages. Worst case, one should be able to restore data from a backup and operate from a new data center.   This is yet another reason why I am way bullish about online real estate than offline real estate.

 

Be Prepared – back up your data remotely
Solar wind and X-class solar flares are important to watch in general, but if you are in the business of developing software it is even more important. Why?   Geomagnetic storms can interfere with electrical systems as was demonstrated in 1989 — this was long before we all became heavily dependent on mobile phones and the Internet for communication. A repeat of the 1989 storm, or perhaps more severe, would be something to watch. Fortunately, it takes 3-4 days for Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) from the sun to get to Earth which means that internet entrepreneurs have ample time to take back up data if there is a CME coming our way.

 

This public service message was sponsored by EmergencyFood.com, powered by Epik .  Use the Discount code “Epik” and get a special discount.

 

What’s with the media blackout on increased earthquake activty?

So what exactly is a Developer anyway: Donald Trump or Steve Jobs?

Friday, September 10th, 2010
So what exactly is a Developer anyway: Donald Trump or Steve Jobs?

At Epik, we use the term Developer to describe the community of entrepreneurs that are building out domains on the Epik Platform. The interesting thing about the term Developer is that it means different things to different people. If you come from Real Estate you might think Donald Trump.  If you come from Computing or Internet, you might be thinking Steve Jobs. So, who would you expect to find at an Internet Real Estate Development Conference? Donald Trump or Steve Jobs?

Conferences provide some insight
As with TRAFFIC or DomainFest, the predominant demographic of the registered attendance for the Epik Developer Conference is not technical.  The largest Developers building on Epik  are overwhelmingly coming from a Real Estate background.  In the past, they Developed hotels, restaurants, houses, condos, offices, cottages and cabins.  And in most cases, they made money, at least until the recent economic downturn started to play havoc with the residential and commercial real estate business model.

Real Estate Developers intuitively understand the importance of LOCATION. On the web, the location is measured largely by the caliber of your web address.  The alternative path to credibility would be to spend heavily on building a brand.  Consider for a moment, Epik.com. Epik is a brand. How much did we spend on developing that brand? A lot.  And even though we are reasonably adept at SEO, we are still not top-ranked by Google for our #1 keyword “Domain Development”. Huh?

Location, Location, Location. Think MLS not DNS.

So which is it — Donald Trump or Steve Jobs?
This leads me to the definitive question — is an Internet Real Estate Developer more like a Donald Trump or a Steve Jobs?

According to a scientific survey of attractive women, it turns out that The Donald has a 96% rating for “Women magnetism”.  As for Steve Jobs’ “Women magnetism”, in the same highly scientific study, Steve Jobs was a lowly 85% rating for Women magnetism. Case closed. The Donald wins.

So, what’s the big difference between The Domain Developer and The Donald?  The Donald has to worry about finding tenants and about guests making messes in the guest rooms.   The Domain Developer doesn’t.

So what exactly is a Developer anyway: Donald Trump or Steve Jobs?

The Bottom Line

Thursday, June 24th, 2010
The Bottom Line

I will turn 43 years old in August. I now have the gray hair, receding hairline and sports injuries to prove it.  Along with the bad stuff comes also the good stuff: wisdom, accountability, reputation, and enduring friendships.  Whether you call it Karma, win-win, or what-goes-around-comes-around, I have learned that it pays to be nice.

Ebay is an interesting case study
To an extent, empowering a generation of internet entrepreneurs is what drives me. When I look at how many people make a living selling on eBay, I think to myself “how cool is that!”. This was a company that started as a hobby and blossomed into a massive global enterprise that created an enormous network of entrepreneurs, the vast majority of which are engaging in legitimate transactions.  The company built an entire business model around personal accountability and reputation. If you are a reputable seller, you get more business and with less transactional friction. It pays to be nice.

At Epik, our goal is to empower thousands of entrepreneurs to become financially independent through domain development.  However, beyond helping people to make money, I am intrigued by the idea of creating a community of like-minded individuals who also want to be part of something bigger — something that can actually make the Internet work better.  The folks who I think share this vision of the future are what I call “Friends of Epik” or FOE. When I first started using the term, even I thought it seemed a little corny. However, it fit the spirit of what we are doing. After all, life is too short not to have friends.

friends

The FOE Letter
Part of making the “Friends of Epik” scalable has been a Friends of Epik letter, or FOE Letter.  This letter is in the form of an email update that I write personally. I send it out a few times a week, often at night. In this letter, I share details about what we are working on, what is working, and also what is not working. I also publish the list of domain names that Epik acquired recently and which we make available on buyer-friendly terms.

Beyond communicating transparently, we try to proactively seek the win-win even if it is not “profit-optimizing” in the short term. A few random examples:

  • Earlier today, Friend of Epik, Mike Ray, part of the prolific Albuquerque Epik mafia, bought the domain name stainlesssteeltable.com from Epik. He paid $249 for the domain with a product portal. The Estibot appraisal here is $9,000.  The name was a drop-catch for Epik and so it was easy to find the win-win here.
  • A number of folks have bought names from us that for whatever reason have been sandboxed by Google or otherwise underperform.  In good faith, we  do further work on the site. If we still can’t get it right, we’ll buy the name back for what the client has into it, or offer a comparable name in trade.
  • A lot of folks in this industry are what I call “Long on Domains. Short on cash”.   In these cases, we have accepted domain names in trade for developing their sites.  We have done many of these deals. It is always a win-win and gets folks who were losing money on renewals once again cash-flowing from their developed sites.
  • We pay out on the 20th of the month whereas our affiliates usually pay us at closer to day 60 or later.  Is there a risk that we get some charge-backs from our affiliates? Sure. Does our CFO like this practice? Not really.  We do it because it is the right thing to do. We do it because it rewards our partners’ success in a timely manner.
  • Occasionally we will miss our deadlines for delivering a developed website, e.g. because of a technical issue or because something slips through the cracks.  If we screw up, we’ll take the hit. For example, we will offer to develop an additional domain for free, do some free SEO work,  provide supplemental content, etc.

This may seem a little novel but clearly it is not. If you have shopped at Nordstrom, Costco or LL Bean, you get it.  These companies make an inherent assumption that people are not evil.  In other words, in business, as in life, you can usually turn the other cheek. I find that 9 times out of 10, it will work out in the long run.  This is not a license to be asleep in the switch or to be a sucker. Rather it is a starting point for how I approach any new acquaintance.  Trust but verify.

Being a Friend has been a win-win
What has Epik gained in return for being a Friend? Lots.

  • People are building their entrepreneurial ventures on our platform.
  • People tell us when we are screwing up and give us advice on how we can be more successful.
  • People bring us deal flow and refer new business.
  • People trust us with their money, usually paying in advance for development.
  • People offer to come work for us, with us, or be acquired by us.

I could go on. I think the point is clear. It pays to be a Friend.


So…

Thanks for reading and thanks for being a Friend.

The Bottom Line

Domain Greenhousing

Sunday, June 13th, 2010
Domain Greenhousing

In a previous post, I compared domain development to farming.  Even baseball uses the term “farm team” to describe the place where you incubate up and comers. While the idea of “domain farming” is certainly not unique, Epik’s execution of the domain farming metaphor is definitely unique.  A key component of the domain farming process is the initial steps that turn into a viable website — a step I call  Domain Greenhousing.

Planting in June — better late than never
Well, the rain finally stopped in Seattle after record rainfall for the past month.  We live on a small lake and I have never seen the lake level so high in June.  This weekend my daughter, 6 year-old Kamryn, and I planted the garden.  Although my wife, Jill, and I have 5 kids, Kamryn is the only one that actually enjoys puttering around the garden with Dad. For the rest, an invitation from Dad to spend time in the garden is not high on the list of the kids’ favorite things to do.  As a result, it is pretty much Dad that is working the “back 40″.  Fortunately, I really enjoy it and now I finally have an enthusiastic sidekick who enjoys it too.

Planting in June is of course  late. The trouble is that in Seattle the growing season is short which means planting outdoor from seed is not really an option — particularly this year with an extended rainy season. Seedlings are the way to go. Propagating a new seedling from seed, cutting, or tuber, is easy to do if you know how to do it. In college, my Freshman dorm room at Cornell was a total greenhouse.  College roommate, Joe Forkey, was remarkably tolerant of the green thumb. Mid-way through Freshman year, he realized  that (1) I wasn’t growing any cannabis — not that the RA would have had a problem with that, and (2) trading plant cuttings was a pretty effective way to meet girls!

Domain Greenhousing
Those young plants that you get from your local home improvement store or nursery of course from greenhouses.  The greenhouse has a pretty good business model and the margins are high enough to compensate both the greenhouse operator, the retailer, and everyone else in between.  The tomato plant for $4.95 came from a seed that cost less than a penny.  The fruit-bearing strawberry plant for $7.95 came from a runner or root that cost perhaps $0.05. Add the cost of grow lights, soil, water, fertilizer, containers, and physical transport and the field-ready seedling is still under $1.

greenhouse-farming

In other words, greenhousing is a win-win for consumer and greenhouse operator.  The consumer pays more for a viable plant and still gets to reap the harvest.  The greenhouse operator got paid a margin for selecting viable seeds, propagating them, and getting the plants ready for planting in the open field.  The same model can apply to domaining.  A domain greenhouser can select viable domains, bring them to life following something like the following process:

  • Select the seed: Every day, some 60,000 to 80,000 domains are dropped.  Epik acquires 10-50 names per day on the drop.  We even built a free tool for screening for dropping names for a number of criteria.  Try it here: http://domains.epik.com
  • Propagate the seed: Every week, Epik produces 200-250 custom websites. Last week alone we produced 190 custom product portals.  This is a tedious task for which we have developed an elaborate supply chain that extends to 4 continents in order to build beautiful sites at an unbeatable price.
  • Plant the seedling:  When a site is released to production, we are catering to many different audiences, not the least of which is the search engines whose algorithms and human reviewers determine where the site ranks.  There are no sustainable short-cuts.
  • Fertilize and water the seedling: Once the site is live, add content, backlinks, social bookmarks and provide responsive customer service.

The greenhousing metaphor may not work for everyone, but it makes sense to me.  Over time, we bring these young sites to market.  Though still a work in progress, you can see a preview of the site marketplace here: http://stores.epik.com/

Think of DevRich.com as a greenhouser
As blogged previously, Epik recently acquired DevRich.com — not to be confused with DevHub.com, a company that I backed as an angel investor and continue to serve as Director on the board.   DevRich builds out sites on a turn-key basis whereas DevHub gives you a tool so you can build sites yourself.  Both are useful but they serve different needs.  DevRich goes from seed to thriving plant.  The pricing for custom site production is unbeatable:

devrich-pricing

Luke Webster, President of DevRich, is getting the job done.  I have seen first-hand that  DevRich custom sites work. The sites get indexed and ranked. Domain owners keep 100% of operating revenue using their own Adsense accounts. In other words, with DevRich, there is 100% transparent reporting and pay-out of all revenues even though DevRich is operating the sites.

Breathing life into a new domain is a skill. Sure, you can learn it yourself, but the infrastructure for doing it with scale would be expensive to develop and operate.  One of the main reasons for acquiring DevRich was a recognition that many domainer owners would greatly benefit from a managed greenhouse solution. A greenhouse operator like DevRich plugs that development gap very nicely.

seedling
Transplanting the Seedlings
Once a site begins to take root in terms of organic traffic and monetization, it is time to look at the long-term growth strategy for the site.  This is where the rest of Epik’s platform capabilities come into play.  While most domain portfolio owners cannot custom develop their entire portfolio, the DevRich platform is an ideal solution for bulk development of custom sites.  The concept and vision for the grown site is already identified at the seed stage. So, when the site becomes viable, the path for growth is already mapped out as opposed to being an after-thought.

Last but not least, one exciting feature of the DevRich-Epik integration is that Epik will credit 100% of any DevRich-related cost towards further development on Epik.   In other words, the domain owner who spends $19.95 to build a DevRich site and $4.95 in monthly site hosting gets 100% of that development and hosting cost applied to any future custom development even though the domain owner banks 100% of the revenue directly into their own Adsense account.  It makes for a pretty easy decision if you ask me.

Come farm with us.  For more information about building on DevRich, contact Luke Webster — luke – at- devrich.com.

Domain Greenhousing

The Times They are A-Changin'

Sunday, November 22nd, 2009
The Times They are A-Changin'

Over the weekend, I had an opportunity to catch up on some reading.  A few of the articles I read were particularly helpful to understand what is going on in the world. The first 3 articles are also related to my recent posts about China and the outlook for the US dollar. The last article  falls into the category of Christian theology and offers interesting perspective on the outlook for the US dollar, and by inference, for domain names as a global asset class.

Advice from Grandma
Thomas “The World is Flat” Friedman’s latest Op-Ed piece starts to throw cold water on the whole Pacific Century thesis saying that the US remains an innovation powerhouse and will come back. He then back-pedals and says that globalization has made the US sovereign borders less relevant, and goes on to draw a parallel between Arnold Schwarzenegger’s roll in governing the de facto bankrupt State of California, and President Obama’s declining credibility as savior of US global hegemony:

“A lot of the disappointment settling in among Obama voters today is prompted by their dawning realization that maybe, like Arnold, he can’t.”

This is notable because Mr. Friedman is a respected pundit who has supported Obama in the past. The next 2 months leading up to the January State of the Union address to Congress are pivotal for the Presidency and Democratic-controlled Congress.

United States Economy At Zero Hour To Service Debt Mountain
Simply stated, the article makes the case that the world largest importer is approaching an impasse with the largest exporters.  The formula that worked brilliantly for the past decade is starting to crack. 

Many countries that relied heavily on exports as a growth strategy are now geared up to provide goods and services to heavily indebted countries that no longer have the will or the means to buy them.

The article includes some useful trend charts, and draws some parallels between the US in the 2000′s and the Japanese in the 1990′s. Having lived in Japan, I would draw some distinctions between the US and Japan: (1) The Japanese cultural norm is one where there is a huge social duty to pay one’s bills in full and on time.  In fact, Japan is still mostly a cash economy. (2) Japan  maintained a healthy export machine while moderating its imports.  And (3) the Japanese never had the luxury of producing an international reserve currency.

Gold Market Reaching The Breaking Point
I received this article from domainer — and fellow skeptic of fiat curency — Ramsay Devreux with whom we are developing names like EmergencyFood.com, ModelShips.com, among other active projects.  The article raises some familiar questions about the accounting of physical gold.  It is almost 100% certain that a lot of physical gold has been sold multiple times, and that if everyone who owns physical gold actually took delivery on the gold they think they own, there would be a run on gold. While it was never the intent for a physical commodity to get levered, it turns out that it was. Here is an interesting visual from the article:

All the gold that has ever been produced would fit in a solid cube of about 19 meters on each side, and this cube is only expanding by about 12 centimeters a year (2%).

I also thought this statistic to be telling:

Statistics from United States Geological Survey show that the united states has exported 5000 metric tons of “Gold compounds” in last two years, and the US Census Bureau has assigned an astronomically high value to these exports.

One emerging conspiracy theory is that the “compounds” are composite of Tungsten, which conveniently has the same density as gold, but costs just $10 per pound, versus $1,030 per ounce for gold.  That’s one reason why some people are buying older numismatic gold and silver coins that were produced long before there was a need to “inflate” physical gold.

The Coming Epiphany
I came across a slightly dense eBook that is worth a read.  The book is  a primer on Christian End times theology. Revelations is pretty hard to parse due to heavy symbolism.  This book does a decent job of interpreting Scripture though it makes for slightly gloomy reading. Page 251 addresses the author’s academic analysis for why he thinks February 22, 2010 is judgment day for the US Dollar. You can download the eBook for free here at Lulu.com, the self-publishing platform.

The Times They are A-Changin'